The 2015 study has 413 pages, 156 tables and figures. Worldwide markets are poised to achieve significant growth as robot cars and trucks permit users to implement automated driving. Fleet vehicles from Uber, Google and similar users are likely to be the early adopter groups.
IBM and Google are sure to be a significant software vendors for all the robot car and truck market participants. IBM has a huge head start with its excellent middleware branded integrated solutions that are hardened and reliable. Google has mindshare and early market success with its early market trials.
As automated process hits the auto industry as a disruptive force, it parallels the automated piloting of the airline industry that saw significant labor savings implementation. Automated vehicle driving can be done anywhere just by connecting the car to integrated adaptive cruise control, adaptive steering and braking, and lane assist systems all working off one central processor.
Robot cars and trucks incrementally add automated process to driving. As software is added to cars and trucks it is done in concert with modification to the steering, breaking, and other automotive systems. Autonomous functions for vehicles are increasingly adopted.
Change is incremental, we do not have fully functioning robot cars immediately, rather, steering, collision avoidance, parking, test driving, series of camera and radar based monitoring systems, lane assist, and adaptive cruise control are being implemented, presaging rapid adoption of robot cars and trucks as the various functions mature and work in the real world.
According to Susan Eustis, team leader for the preparation of the study, “The market for robot car and truck vehicles is anticipated to expand in parallel with the deployment of appropriate roadway controls funded by government programs. The large public investments for robot vehicles so far has been for development of technology that works for military purposes. The extension of this type of automated system to commercial fleet vehicles will be rapid after 2020”
The robot car designs amalgamate a group of features to represent an automated process solution. These include the hardware, the software middleware, the steering system, adaptive cruise control, numerous software applications, an integrated systems approach, and related services. Significant investments in research and development are necessary as the emerging robot cars and trucks industry builds on incremental technology roll outs.
Robot car and truck commercial autonomous car market shipments forecasts indicate that markets beginning to develop in 2015 will rise to $868 million by 2021. Growth is a result of various moves toward autonomous vehicles that park themselves, provide automated steering, are used as test vehicles, are used as mapping vehicles, and that provide driver alerts but fall sort of complete robotically operated car vehicles.
Market driving forces relate primarily to the need for increased safety and personalization for autos. Car manufacturers are positioning with robot car models to meet demand at the high end. Many robot vehicle car vendors are making automation for personal vehicles and trucks a reality.
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This robot car and truck shipment analysis is based on consideration of the metrics for the number of cars shipped, percent of cars outfitted with automated cruise control, and probable market penetrations of robot cars. Experience using the robot cars and trucks is another factor that contributes to development of triangulation regarding market forecasts for the sector.
Companies Profiled
Market Leaders
Google
Ford
BMW
Tesla
Daimler AG / Mercedes-Benz
Fuji
GM
Kairos
Nissan
Toyota
Volkswagen / Audi
ROBOT CARS AND TRUCKS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 30
Robot Car and Truck Market Driving Forces 30
Robot Car and Truck Market Shares 33
Robot Car and Truck Market Forecasts 34
1. ROBOT CARS AND TRUCKS MARKET DEFINITION AND MARKET DYNAMICS37
1.1 Advanced Technology 37
1.1.1 Adaptive Cruise Control 38
1.1.2 Driver-Assist Technologies 40
1.1.3 Ford Robotic Auto Control System 41
1.2 Legal Hurdles Remain 43
1.2.1 Robot Cars and Trucks Operation 45
1.2.2 Robot Cars and Trucks Technology Trends 45
1.2.3 Vehicle Sharing 45
1.3 Urban Move to Mega Cities 46
1.4 Robot Car Enabling Technologies 47
1.4.1 Sensor Processing 47
1.4.2 Machine Autonomy 48
2. ROBOT CARS AND TRUCKS MARKET SHARES AND MARKET FORECASTS 50
2.1 Robot Car and Truck Market Driving Forces 50
2.2 Robot Car and Truck Market Shares 53
2.2.1 Google 54
2.2.2 Google Self-Driving Car 55
2.2.3 Google Self-Driving Car from Auto Components 56
2.2.4 First Fully Autonomous Audi expected by 2017 56
2.2.5 Ford / Lincoln 57
2.2.6 Lincoln Adaptive Cruise Control 57
2.2.7 Tesla58
2.2.8 Jaguar Driverless Cars 58
2.2.9 IBM 59
2.2.10 IBM / Ford Automotive Vehicle System M2M 59
2.2.11 Ford Robotically Controlled Vehicles On Test Track 60
2.2.12 Toyota Production LS 2013 Model Self-Driving Tools Technology 61
2.2.13 Hyundai Genesis Smart Cruise Control 61
2.2.14 Nissan 62
2.2.15 BMW 62
2.2.16 Daimler AG / Mercedes-Benz Self Driving Car 62
2.2.17 GM Chevrolet Impala 2015 63
2.2.18 Kairos Autonami Pronto4 64
2.3 Robot Car and Truck Market Forecasts 65
2.3.1 Autonomous Vehicle Integration Software Market 68
2.3.2 Advanced Autonomous Car Software 70
2.3.3 Automotive Market Discussion 72
2.3.4 Commercial Car Adaptive Cruise Control 74
2.4 Robot Car and Truck Regional Market Segments 74
2.4.1 Ford North America 75
2.4.2 Ford South America 78
2.4.3 Ford Europe 78
2.4.4 Ford Asia Pacific Africa 80
2.4.5 Robot Car Regional Analysis 81
3. ROBOT CARS AND TRUCKS PRODUCT DESCRIPTION 83
3.1 Tesla 83
3.1.1 Tesla Dual Motor Model S 83
3.1.2 Tesla Hardware Safety Features 85
3.1.3 Tesla Software Safety Features 86
3.1.4 Tesla Model S 87
3.1.5 Tesla Driverless Car Features 89
3.1.6 Tesla Autopilot 91
3.1.7 Tesla Autopilot Parking 92
3.1.8 Tesla Safety 93
3.2 Google 94
3.2.1 Google in Talks with Ford, Toyota and Volkswagen 95
3.2.2 Google Self Driving Car 96
3.2.3 Google Ride Sharing 99
3.3 Uber99
3.3.1 Uber / Carnegie Mellon Partnership 99
3.3.2 Uber Endorses Self-Driving Cars for Its Business 100
3.3.3 Uber Ride Sharing App 101
3.4 Apple 101
3.4.1 Apple Testing Auto-Pilot 102
3.5 IBM / Ford 103
3.5.1 IBM Addresses The Internet of Things 104
3.5.2 IBM Works With Ford On Self-Driving Cars 107
3.5.3 IBM / Ford Automotive Vehicle System M2M 108
3.5.4 Ford Leveraging IBM Partnership, Using Sensors 111
3.5.5 IBM Smarter Planet Strategy 111
3.6 Ford Self Driving Car 112
3.6.1 Ford Robotic Auto Control System 113
3.6.2 Ford Adaptive Cruise Control 115
3.6.3 Ford / Lincoln 117
3.6.4 Lincoln Adaptive Cruise Control 117
3.6.5 Lincoln Active Park Assist 118
3.6.6 Lincoln Lane-Keeping System 118
3.6.7 Lincoln Intelligent Access with Push-Button Start 118
3.6.8 Lincoln BLIS® with Cross-Traffic Alert 118
3.7 Mercedes 119
3.7.1 Mercedes Self Driving Car Interior 120
3.7.2 Mercedes-Benz F 015 123
3.7.3 Mercedes-Benz Leads In Concept Cars: Safety Leads the Research 128
3.7.4 Daimler Robot Driving Truck 129
3.8 Nissan 130
3.8.1 Nissan and NASA Team Up To Build Zero-Emission Driverless Car 132
3.8.2 Nissan EPORO Robot Car 133
3.9 GM / Cadillac 134
3.10 Toyota 138
3.10.1 Toyota Lexus Division Modified Lexus LS Sedan. 140
3.10.2 Toyota Lexus Adaptive Cruise Control 144
3.10.3 Toyota: Automated Cars Won’t Be Driverless Cars 146
3.11 Volkswagon / Audi / Porsche 147
3.11.1 First Fully Autonomous Audi Expected by 2017 148
3.11.2 Audi Self-driving Car Travels 550 Miles from San Francisco to Las Vegas 149
3.11.3 Volkswagen 151
3.11.4 Porsche / Volkswagen 154
3.12 Volvo 157
3.12.1 Volvo’s Self-Parking, Driverless Car 157
3.12.2 Volvo Mobile App of the iPhone “Park Now” Button 162
3.13 BMW 165
3.13.1 BMW Partially Automated Driving Functions 166
3.13.2 BMW Autonomous Car Safety Features 167
3.13.3 BMW Performance Limits Of Its Driverless Car 167
3.13.4 BMW’s Driverless Cars in China 170
3.14 Subaru Adaptive Cruise Control 171
3.15 Honda 174
3.15.1 Honda Self-Driving Car in Detroit 177
3.16 Hyundai Genesis Smart Cruise Control 179
3.17 Tata Motors Limited / Jaguar Adaptive Cruise Control 181
3.17.1 Jaguar Driverless Cars 181
3.17.2 Tata Motors Limited / Jaguar / Land Rover 182
3.17.3 Land Rover Smart Driver Assistance Technologies 184
3.17.4 Land Rover Reverse Traffic Detection 185
3.17.5 Land Rover Electric Power-Assisted Steering with Park Assist 186
3.17.6 Land Rover Powerful Braking With Lightweight Brembo Calipers 188
3.17.7 Land Rover Enhanced Active Safety Technologies 190
3.17.8 Land Rover Engineered for Maximum Occupant Protection 192
3.17.9 Driverless Cars Shaped by Land Rover Technology 194
3.18 GM 2015 197
3.18.1 GM Safety Technology 198
3.18.2 Buick LaCrosse 2015 200
3.19 Chrysler 300 SRT8 201
3.19.1 Chrysler Technology Recognizes When Things Slow Down 202
3.19.2 Chrysler Backup, Safety & Security 202
3.19.3 Dodge Durango 2014 203
3.20 Kongsberg CORTEX 205
3.21 BAE Systems Land Vehicles Given a Brain of their Own 206
3.22 Kairos Autonami Pronto4 Retrofitting System for Existing Vehicles or Vessels208
3.22.1 Kairos Pronto4™ Agnostic Autonomy System Features 210
3.22.2 Kairos ProntoMimic Software Suite 211
3.23 Lockheed Martin SMSS 212
3.23.1 Lockheed Martin SMSS User-Proven Autonomy 213
3.23.2 Lockheed Martin SMSS Unmanned Capabilities 213
3.24 General Dynamics Robotic Systems 214
3.24.1 General Dynamics Mobile Detection Assessment and Response System (MDARS)218
3.24.2 General Dynamics Tactical Autonomous Combat – Chassis (TAC – C) 219
4. ROBOT CARS AND TRUCKS TECHNOLOGY 222
4.1 Robot Car Test Facility in UK 222
4.2 MIT Demonstrates Swarm Of Modular Robots That Self-Assemble Into Larger Shapes
222
4.3 Robotic Car Fish-Inspired Technology 223
4.4 Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC) 225
4.4.1 Distance Measured By A Small Radar Unit 226
4.4.2 ACC Technology 226
4.4.3 Adaptive Cruise Control 227
4.4.4 Lexus_IS250_ACC Adaptive Cruise Control 228
4.5 Advanced Robot Technology: Navigation, Mobility, And Manipulation 229
4.5.1 Robot Intelligence Systems 230
4.5.2 Real-World, Dynamic Sensing 230
4.6 User-Friendly Interfaces 231
4.6.1 Tightly-Integrated, Electromechanical Robot Design 232
4.7 Field Based Robotics Iterative Development 232
4.7.1 Next-Generation Products Leverage Model 233
4.7.2 Modular Robot Structure And Control 233
4.7.3 Lattice Architectures 234
4.7.4 Chain / Tree Architectures 234
4.7.5 Deterministic Reconfiguration 235
4.7.6 Stochastic Reconfiguration 235
4.7.7 Modular Robotic Systems 235
4.8 Intel Military Robot Cultivating Collaborations 236
4.9 Hitachi Configuration Of Robots Using The SuperH Family 236
4.9.1 Hitachi Concept of MMU And Logic Space 238
4.9.2 Robotic Use of Solid State Thin Film Lithium-Ion Batteries 242
4.10 Network Of Robots And Sensors 242
4.10.1 Sensor Networks Part Of Research Agenda 243
4.10.2 Light Sensing 244
4.10.3 Acceleration Sensing 245
4.10.4 Chemical Sensing 245
4.11 Military Robot Technology Functions 245
4.12 Carbon Nanotube Radio 246
4.13 Military Robot Funded Programs 247
4.13.1 XM1216 Small Unmanned Ground Vehicle (SROBOT CARS) 248
4.13.2 UUV Sub-Pillars 248
4.13.3 Hovering Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (HAUV) 251
4.13.4 Alliant 251
4.13.5 ATSP is a Government-Wide Contracting Vehicle 252
4.13.6 Quick, Efficient Contracting Vehicle 253
4.13.7 Facilitates Technology And Insertion Into Fielded Systems 253
4.13.8 Access to All Northrop Grumman Sectors 253
4.14 iRobot Technology 253
4.14.1 iRobot AWARE Robot Intelligence Systems 254
4.14.2 iRobot Real-World, Dynamic Sensing. 254
4.14.3 iRobot User-Friendly Interface 255
4.14.4 iRobot Tightly-Integrated Electromechanical Design. 255
4.15 Evolution Robotics Technology Solutions 256
4.16 Military Robot Technology Enablers 258
4.16.1 Military Robot Logistics 260
4.17 MRAP ATV: Requirements and Contenders 262
4.18 Military Robot Enabling Technology 267
4.19 Intel Integrated Circuit Evidence-Based Innovation 269
4.19.1 Open Robotic Control Software 271
4.19.2 Military Robot Key Technology 272
4.19.3 Google Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2014 Revenue 334
4.19.4 GM / Buick 340
5. ROBOT CARS AND TRUCKS COMPANY DESCRIPTION 275
5.1 Apple 275
5.2 Allen Vanguard 276
5.2.1 Allen Vanguard Rapid Development 278
5.3 BAE Systems 283
5.4 BMW 286
5.4.1 BMW Strategy 287
5.4.2 BMW Revenue 287
5.5 Bosch Group 290
5.5.1 Evatran Group Plugless Sales Go Live with Bosch 290
5.5.2 Bosch Business Overview 292
5.5.3 Bosch Group Reorganized Its Business Sectors 292
5.1.1 Bosch Consumer Goods sales 295
5.1.2 Bosch Automotive Technology sales 295
5.1.3 Bosch Industrial Technology Sales 296
5.1.4 Bosch Group 297
5.1.5 Bosch Healthcare Supports Independent Living At Home 297
5.1.6 Bosch Security Systems Division 298
5.6 Chrysler / Dodge 298
5.6.1 Chrysler Revenue 300
5.7 Daimler AG/Mercedes-Benz 300
5.7.1 Daimler AG Revenue 301
5.8 ECA Robotics 302
5.9 Elbit Systems 304
5.9.1 Elbit Systems Principal Market Environment 307
5.9.2 Elbit Systems 308
5.9.3 Elbit Systems Principal Market Environment 309
5.10 Evatran Group 311
5.11 Ford / Lincoln 311
5.11.1 Ford Business 313
5.11.2 Ford Motor Vehicle Fuel Economy 315
5.11.3 Ford Revenue 315
5.12 Fuji Heavy Industries / Subaru 316
5.12.1 Subaru Automotive Business 317
5.12.2 Subaru of America 317
5.13 G-NIUS 318
5.14 General Dynamics 319
5.14.1 Sequester Mechanism 320
5.14.2 General Dynamics Revenue 320
5.14.3 General Dynamics Robotic Systems 322
5.14.4 General Dynamics Robotic Systems (GDRS) Vision 322
5.14.5 General Dynamics Robotic Systems (GDRS) Manufacturing 323
5.14.6 General Dynamics Autonomous Land And Air Vehicle Development 323
5.15 Google Self-Driving Car 324
5.15.1 Google Cars Address Vast Majority Of Vehicle Accidents Due To Human Error 328
5.15.2 Google Business 328
5.1.7 Google Corporate 330
5.15.3 Google Search 331
5.1.8 Google Revenue 332
5.1.9 Google Revenues by Segment and Geography 333
5.16 GM / Cadillac 335
5.16.1 GM Business 337
5.16.2 GM Strategy 337
5.16.3 GM Revenue 338
5.17 Honda 341
5.18 Hyundai 344
5.19 Kairos Autonami 345
5.19.1 Kairos Autonomi Autonomy ROI 346
5.19.2 Kairos Autonomi Upgrades Robot Conversion Kit 346
5.20 Kongsberg 347
5.21 Lockheed Martin 349
5.21.1 Lockheed Martin Symphony Improvised Explosive Device Jammer Systems 353
5.21.2 Lockheed Martin Aeronautics Revenue 353
5.21.3 Lockheed Martin Electronic Systems 358
5.21.4 Lockheed Martin 359
5.22 Mesa Robotics 359
5.22.1 Systems Development Division of Mesa Associates 359
5.22.2 Mesa Robotics Affordable Robotic Solutions 361
5.22.3 Mesa Robotics Revenue 362
5.23 Mitsubishi 363
5.24 Nissan 364
5.24.1 Nissan Revenue 366
5.25 Qualcomm 367
5.25.1 Qualcomm Business 367
5.25.2 QMC Offers Comprehensive Chipset Solutions 368
5.25.3 Qualcomm Government Technologies 369
5.25.4 Qualcomm Internet Services 370
5.25.5 Qualcomm Ventures 371
5.25.6 Qualcomm / WiPower 373
5.25.7 Qualcomm Standardization Capabilities 374
5.25.8 Qualcomm Regulatory and Compliance Capabilities 374
5.26 Tata Motors Limited / Jaguar / Land Rover 375
5.26.1 Jaguar Land Rover 375
5.27 Tesla 375
5.27.1 Tesla’s Mission Is To Accelerate The World’s Transition To Sustainable Transport376
5.27.2 Tesla Autopilot 378
5.31 Thales Group 379
5.30.1 Thales Core Businesses 379
5.30.2 Thales: – A Global Player 380
5.30.4 Thales Key Technology Domains 381
5.30.5 Thales Open Research 382
5.30.6 Thales Stance on Environment 383
5.30.7 Thales Product Design 383
5.30.8 Thales Site Management 383
5.30.9 Thales Alenia Space Integration Of Service Module For The Fourth ATV 384
5.30.10 Thales Sonar ‘Excels’ In Anti-Submarine Warfare Exercise 385
5.30.11 Thales Group Ground Alerter 10 386
5.30.12 Thales Group Ground Master 400 (GM 400) 387
5.30.13 Thales Group Ground Smarter 1000 388
5.30.14 Thales Group 389
5.31 Toyota / Lexus 391
5.31.1 Lexus Division of Toyota Motor Sales 392
5.31.2 Toyota / Lexus 392
5.31.3 Toyota 393
5.31.4 Toyota Avalon Wireless Charging Pad 393
5.32 Uber 396
5.33 Vecna Technologies 396
5.34 Volkswagen 397
5.34.1 Volkswagon Brands 399
5.34.2 Porsche SE 400
5.34.3 Porsche SE 400
5.34.4 Volkswagen / Audi 401
5.34.5 Audi Gets The Second Driverless Car Permit In Nevada 402
5.35 Volvo 402
5.35.1 Volvo Revenue 403
5.36 Visteon 405
5.36.1 Visteon Revenue 406
5.37 WiTricity 408
