China Coal Power Scenario

Date: 2016-08
Pages:11
Price:

China Coal Power Scenario

Summary

China has one of the fastest-growing power markets in Asia, but imbalanced regional development, with a population estimated at 1.38 billion people in 2015. China鈥檚 power sector is heavily dependent on coal-based power generation, which accounted for 59.7% of cumulative installed capacity in 2015. The key drivers for Chinese market transition from fossil fuels to non-fossil fuels include: Energy transformation, Emission reduction, Air quality, Water resources, Economic restructuring, and Energy consumption.

The annual installed coal capacity was 55.3 Gigawatts (GW) in 2015, and is expected to decrease to 32 GW by 2025 at a negative CAGR of 5.3%. In 2015, coal accounted for 94% of thermal power capacity. This high dependence on coal power arises from the availability of indigenous coal deposits, and China鈥檚 ability to quickly construct and commission coal-fired power plants. China鈥檚 coal power generation increased from 3,272.8 TWh in 2010 to 3,798.1 TWh in 2015 at a CAGR of 3.0%. It is expected that by the year end 2025, the total coal power generation is expected to decrease to 3,343.2 TWh at a negative CAGR of 1.3% during the period 2015-2025.

In 2015, Chinese provinces such as Jiangsu, Shandong and Shanxi were involved in providing new permits for coal-fired power plants, but at the beginning of 2016, the central government directed local authorities to postpone or cancel the construction of new coal-fired projects, as regulators seek to decrease a glut in capacity.The government is now stringently holding back the construction of new coal-fired power plants, including withdrawing some approvals already given in 2015. This would lead to decreased coal installations in the coming decade. The coal-fired power plants being commissioned will just add to the over capacity of the country, which is expected to fall starting from 2016.

It can be estimated that on restricting about 35 GW of coal-fired power capacity, which is in the approval phase, nearly 176.6 million metric tons of CO2 emissions can be saved annually.

Scope

– Data on coal-fire power generation and power demand versus capacity in China
– Data on stringent measures taken by National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) and the National Energy Administration (NEA) for promoting the orderly development of China’s coal sector and to decrease a glut in capacity
– Information on coal market reforms, trend of power generation by different technologies from 2005-2025 and annual installed coal capacity from 2015-2025
– Drivers for Chinese market transition from fossil fuel to non-fossil fuels
– Data on the global impact witnessed due to restriction of coal use in China
– Information on the capacity, generation and CO2 emissions of coal-fired power plants (existing and in pipeline)

Reasons to buy

– Identify opportunities and plan strategies by having a strong understanding of coal-fired power generation and power demand versus capacity in China
– Identify drivers for the country’s market transition from fossil fuel to non-fossil fuels
– Identify key trends of power generation by different technologies from 2005-2025 and annual installed coal capacity from 2015-2025 in China
– Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events
– Identify stringent measures taken by NDRC and the NEA for promoting the orderly development of China’s coal sector and to decrease a glut in capacity
– Comprehend the global impact due to the restriction of coal use in China
– Understanding information related to the capacity, generation and CO2 emissions of coal-fired power plants (existing and in pipeline)

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